In a move that underscores the ongoing diplomatic and military tensions between South Asia’s two nuclear-armed neighbors, Pakistan has announced a one-month extension of its airspace ban for Indian aircraft. This marks the third consecutive month that Indian-operated, registered, or leased commercial and military aircraft have been barred from flying over Pakistani territory.
The decision comes amid persistent regional instability, primarily stemming from the events following the Pahalgam terror attack in April 2025, which killed dozens of Indian paramilitary personnel. Pakistan’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) issued a NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) on June 23, 2025, confirming that the restriction will remain in place until at least July 23, 2025.
The roots of the airspace ban lie in the sharp rise in cross-border tensions earlier this year. On April 22, 2025, a deadly attack in the Indian-administered region of Jammu and Kashmir led to a breakdown in already fragile diplomatic ties. In retaliation, India allegedly conducted a limited cross-border operation, prompting Pakistan to respond with a range of diplomatic and airspace measures.
Just two days later, on April 24, Pakistan officially closed its airspace to Indian flights. In a tit-for-tat response, India also barred Pakistani carriers from transiting through Indian airspace. Since then, the airspace closure has been renewed on a monthly basis, with both countries showing no sign of de-escalation.
The airspace ban is having significant financial and logistical consequences, especially for Indian airlines. Air India, the country’s flagship carrier, has stated that the continued closure of Pakistan’s air corridor is costing the airline nearly $600 million annually. The longer flight routes forced by the ban have led to higher fuel consumption, increased crew hours, and extended flying times. Routes from India to destinations in the Middle East, Europe, and North America have been particularly affected.
Other Indian carriers such as IndiGo and Vistara have also reported elevated operational costs and disrupted schedules. According to aviation experts, flights to cities like Doha, Dubai, London, and Frankfurt now require up to two additional hours of flight time, depending on the route detour.
On Pakistan’s side, the ban could mean a loss of overflight fees that international airlines pay to use its airspace. However, the Pakistani government seems willing to accept the economic cost as a strategic leverage point. For Islamabad, the ban serves both as a form of protest and a measure of national security.
The international aviation community, including bodies like the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), has expressed concern over the prolonged closure. While no direct intervention has been initiated, officials emphasize the need to maintain open skies for civilian aviation, especially on such crucial air routes.
Middle Eastern airlines, which frequently operate between Europe and South Asia, have had to reroute flights to avoid Pakistani airspace when heading to or from Indian cities. Carriers such as Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad have seen increased travel times and fuel bills as a result.
Despite backchannel talks and international appeals, neither India nor Pakistan has signaled a clear path toward resolution. The Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs has maintained that any normalization of airspace rights must follow a broader dialogue on regional peace and cross-border militancy.
Indian officials, on the other hand, insist that national security remains paramount and have declined to comment on the airspace ban beyond stating that they are “prepared for long-term strategic adjustments.”
Some analysts believe that the upcoming SAARC summit, tentatively scheduled for late August, could serve as a potential platform for renewed diplomatic engagement. However, expectations remain low given the hardline rhetoric from both sides.
The extension of Pakistan’s airspace ban reflects a larger trend of deteriorating India–Pakistan relations in recent years. What began as a tactical decision in response to a security crisis has evolved into a prolonged diplomatic standoff affecting not only the two countries involved but also global aviation networks.
As the monsoon season arrives and the region turns its focus toward internal development and recovery from climate-related challenges, it remains to be seen whether both nations can find the political will to de-escalate.
Reference: پاکستان کا بھارت کیلئے فضائی حدود مزید ایک ماہ بند رکھنے کا اعلان